Agentic commerce

Agentic commerce (also referred to as agent-based commerce) describes an emerging form of e-commerce in which autonomous artificial intelligence (AI) agents independently execute purchasing and payment processes on behalf of users or organizations. Unlike conventional digital commerce systems, which require direct human interaction at key decision points, agentic commerce systems are designed to search for products or services, evaluate options, make purchasing decisions, and complete payments without real-time human involvement.

An emerging development within the broader fields of e-commerce, fintech, and artificial intelligence; agentic commerce combines advances in generative AI, autonomous agents, application programming interfaces (APIs), and digital payment infrastructures to direct transactions with no direct human interaction.[1]

Characteristics

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A defining feature of agentic commerce is the delegation of end-to-end commercial activities to software agents. These agents typically operate according to predefined user preferences, rules, or constraints, such as price limits, quality criteria, delivery times, or preferred payment methods. Based on these parameters, an agent can autonomously perform tasks including product discovery, price comparison, contract selection, order placement, and payment execution.[2]

In contrast to decision-support systems, which provide recommendations to human users, agentic commerce systems are designed to act independently. Human involvement may be limited to initial configuration, periodic supervision, or exception handling.[3]

Comparison with traditional and AI-assisted commerce

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Traditional e-commerce requires users to manually browse products, select offers, and authorize payments. Generative AI systems used in commerce commonly assist users by answering questions or suggesting options, and do not complete transactions autonomously.[4]

Agentic commerce differs in that decision-making authority is partially or fully transferred to AI agents. As a result, the conventional customer journey, characterized by conscious decision points, may be replaced by continuous, automated micro-decisions performed by software.[5][6]

Applications and business use cases

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Potential applications of agentic commerce include recurring purchases, subscription management, business-to-business procurement, inventory replenishment, and price monitoring. In such contexts, transactions are often predictable and standardized, making them suitable for automation. From a business perspective, agentic commerce systems may be used to optimize supply chains, manage inventory levels, negotiate prices algorithmically, or execute transactions across multiple platforms.[7]

Enterprises adopting the new technology include retailers Walmart,[8] Home Depot, Wayfair and Urban Outfitters,[9] and ad tech DSPs, including Google Ads,[8] Amazon,[10] and Yahoo.[11] Chinese tech firms are using apps to provide full-service shopping and payment tools. These includes Alibaba, Tencent, and ByteDance who are currently developing AI powered shopping apps. The Qwen AI chatbot allows users to complete transactions directly within its interface. US firms are still leading in developing AI models but integration is slower due to privacy restrictions.[12]

Payments and technical infrastructure

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Agentic commerce relies on digital payment systems capable of supporting automated, machine-initiated transactions, including API-based payment processing, tokenization, real-time authorization, and continuous risk monitoring.[13] Typical user interfaces, such as shopping carts, may be replaced by backend integrations between AI agents, merchants, and payment service providers.[7]

For merchants, participation in agentic commerce may require products and services to be presented in structured, machine-readable formats to ensure discoverability and interoperability with autonomous agents.[14]

Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP)

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In January 2026, Google announced the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP), an open-source web standard intended to enable interoperability between AI agents and retail systems across the shopping journey, from discovery and checkout to post-purchase support.[15][16][17][18] UCP makes use of REST, JSON-RPC transports, and support for Agent Payments Protocol (AP2), Agent2Agent (A2A), and Model Context Protocol(MCP).[19]

Legal, regulatory, and security considerations

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The use of autonomous agents in commerce raises legal and regulatory questions, particularly regarding authorization, liability, consumer protection, and fraud prevention. Existing payment and contract frameworks are generally based on human decision-makers, and their applicability to autonomous agents remains an area of active discussion.[20]

Open issues include responsibility for unauthorized or erroneous transactions, mechanisms for dispute resolution, standards for agent authentication, and compliance with data protection and financial regulations. Continuous, automated transaction patterns may also require new approaches to security and risk assessment.[21]

Ecosystem and implementation

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The adoption of agentic commerce typically requires changes in commerce architecture, data modeling, identity and permissions, and API-based orchestration of checkout and post-purchase workflows.[22]

Management consultancies have identified agentic commerce as a structural evolution of digital commerce, emphasizing the role of AI-driven agents in automating discovery, decision-making, and transaction processes across commerce systems. McKinsey & Company has described agentic commerce as a significant shift in how consumers interact with brands and how enterprises design their commerce operating models.[23]

In Europe, this ecosystem also includes digital commerce consultancies specializing in the adoption of agentic commerce. Consulting firms such as Horrea support brands in understanding and implementing the technological and organizational shifts associated with agentic commerce. [24]

Market development and outlook

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Agentic commerce is generally regarded as an early-stage development. Industry analysts have projected that AI-driven agents could account for a small but growing share of digital payment transactions within the coming years. Due to the scale of global digital commerce, even limited adoption could represent substantial transaction volumes. Analysts expect that by 2029, AI agents could handle between 1% and 4% of all digital payment transactions. With a projected total transaction volume of over $36 trillion a year, even a small share translates into a market worth up to $1.47 trillion.[3] According to a McKinsey study from October 2025, agentic commerce projects that by 2030, the *U.S. business-to-consumer retail market alone could see up to $1 trillion in revenue orchestrated through agentic commerce. On a global scale, the opportunity could range from $3 trillion to $5 trillion.[5]

Early experiments and pilot projects have demonstrated both the potential and current limitations of the technology.[25] Major payment networks and technology providers have announced initiatives related to AI-enabled commerce, including agent-based tokenisation, data protection, and automated transaction management platforms.[26] Among them are Mastercard,[27] Visa,[28] Stripe,[29] Mollie[30] and Unzer.[31]

News coverage of UCP (Universal Commerce Protocol) characterized it as a foundational layer for scaling agentic commerce, positioning it as a standardized mechanism for AI assistants and conversational interfaces to initiate and complete purchases without requiring bespoke integrations for each merchant or agent system.[32][33][34] [35]

Further reading

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Dusad, Krishna: "Agentic Commerce: The Paradigm Shift from Human-Mediated to Autonomous AI-Driven Transactions in Digital Payment Systems"; International Journal of Computational and Experimental Science and Engineering (November 2025)[36]

See also

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References

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  1. ^ "Deep Dive: Agentic AI in Payments and Commerce: By Sam Boboev". Finextra Research. 2025-06-08. Retrieved 2026-02-24.
  2. ^ "Agentic Commerce Is Redefining Retail—Here's How to Respond". BCG Global. Boston Consulting Group. 2025-10-01. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  3. ^ a b Cherukuri, Chandana (2025-06-08). "Agentic Payments-Next Frontier in Fintech". Finsignals. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  4. ^ "The Benefits and Limitations of Generative AI: Harvard Experts Answer Your Questions | Harvard Online". harvardonline.harvard.edu. Archived from the original on 2026-01-10. Retrieved 2026-02-24.
  5. ^ a b Katharina Schumacher, Roger Roberts, Katharina Giebel (2025-10-17). "The agentic commerce opportunity: How AI agents are ushering in a new era for consumers and merchants". McKinsey. Retrieved 2025-12-13.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link) CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  6. ^ Boboev, Sam. "Deep Dive: Agentic AI in Payments and Commerce". www.fintechwrapup.com. Retrieved 2026-02-24.
  7. ^ a b Krishna Dusad (2025-11-14). "Agentic Commerce: The Paradigm Shift from Human-Mediated to Autonomous AI-Driven Transactions in Digital Payment Systems". International Journal of Computational and Experimental Science and Engineering. 11 (4). doi:10.22399/ijcesen.4304. ISSN 2149-9144.
  8. ^ a b Ludmir, Clara. "Why Agentic Commerce Adoption Is Inevitable—And Who Might Lose From It". Forbes. Retrieved 2026-02-27.
  9. ^ "3 retailers on their role in agentic AI experiences". Yahoo Finance. Archived from the original on 2026-01-21. Retrieved 2026-02-27.
  10. ^ "Amazon edges deeper into agentic commerce with Rufus 'Auto Buy' function". EMARKETER. 2025-11-14. Retrieved 2026-02-27.
  11. ^ "As ad platforms launch agentic AI features, marketer distrust persists". EMARKETER. 2026-01-07. Retrieved 2026-02-27.
  12. ^ Chin, Dylan Butts,Matthew (2026-01-21). "Chinese tech giants enter the 'agentic commerce' race as AI reshapes super apps". CNBC. Archived from the original on February 14, 2026. Retrieved 2026-03-11.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: multiple names: authors list (link)
  13. ^ "Human-Not-Present: Agentic Commerce, Network Tokens and Payments". NMI. Retrieved 2026-02-24.
  14. ^ StartupValley (2025-11-06). "Übernimmt KI bald unseren gesamten Einkauf?". StartupValley - Erfolgreich Gründen und durchstarten! (in German). Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  15. ^ Elias, Jennifer (2026-01-11). "Google bolsters bet on AI-powered commerce with new platform for shopping agents". CNBC. Retrieved 2026-01-22.
  16. ^ "New tech and tools for retailers to succeed in an agentic commerce future". Google Blog. 2026-01-11. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  17. ^ "Under the Hood: Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP)". Google Developers Blog. 2026-01-11. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  18. ^ "Building the Universal Commerce Protocol (2026)". Shopify Engineering. 2026-01-11. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  19. ^ Toscano, Joe. "Google's Universal Commerce Protocol Signals The End Of Search-Based Shopping". Forbes. Retrieved 2026-01-22.
  20. ^ "Agentic Commerce Security: Protect Against AI Agent Threats". DataDome. Retrieved 19 January 2026.
  21. ^ Beij, Pascal (2025-08-01). "Agentic Commerce: Agentic Commerce: Wie KI den Handel revolutioniert". Textilzeitung (in German). Retrieved 2025-12-13.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: url-status (link)
  22. ^ "Under the Hood: Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP)". Google Developers Blog. 2026-01-11. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  23. ^ "The agentic commerce opportunity". McKinsey & Company. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  24. ^ "Horrea entre au capital de CosaVostra pour devenir le champion du "Creative Commerce"". Presse-citron. 2024-11-21. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  25. ^ Zeff, Maxwell (2024-12-02). "The race is on to make AI agents do your online shopping for you". TechCrunch. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  26. ^ Cherukuri, Chandana (2025-07-07). "Agentic Payments-Part 2". Finsignals. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  27. ^ "Mastercard unveils Agent Pay, pioneering agentic payments technology to power commerce in the age of AI". www.mastercard.com. Archived from the original on 2025-07-26. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  28. ^ "Enabling AI agents to buy securely and seamlessly". corporate.visa.com. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  29. ^ "Stripe launches the Agentic Commerce Suite to help every business thrive in the AI-enabled commerce era". stripe.com (in German). 2025-12-11. Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  30. ^ Finanzmagazin, I. T.; Wolf, David (2025-11-26). "Mollie macht Händler bereit für KI-Payment mit ChatGPT". IT Finanzmagazin (in German). Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  31. ^ Volz, Maximilian (2025-08-22). "Unzer – Wie KI-Agenten bald eigenständig einkaufen und was daraus folgt". DER PLATOW Brief (in German). Retrieved 2025-12-13.
  32. ^ "Google brings buy buttons to Gemini and AI search". The Verge. 2026-01-12. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  33. ^ "Google teams up with Walmart and other retailers to enable shopping within Gemini AI chatbot". Associated Press. 2026-01-12. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  34. ^ "Walmart expands AI-powered shopping with Google Gemini". Axios. 2026-01-11. Retrieved 2026-01-16.
  35. ^ Greeven, Mark. "Inside Alibaba's Agentic Commerce Play: The End Of Search-And-Browse Shopping?". Forbes. Archived from the original on 2026-02-21. Retrieved 2026-03-11.
  36. ^ Krishna Dusad (2025-11-14). "Agentic Commerce: The Paradigm Shift from Human-Mediated to Autonomous AI-Driven Transactions in Digital Payment Systems". International Journal of Computational and Experimental Science and Engineering. 11 (4). doi:10.22399/ijcesen.4304. ISSN 2149-9144.